DEVELOPMENT OF AN EXPERT-BASED MODEL TO ASSESS EDUCATIONAL POTENTIAL USING THE DELPHI METHOD

Abstract

The study applies the Delphi method to assess the significance of personal characteristics in selecting applicants for university programs. Experts evaluated 28 traits over three survey rounds, with results analyzed using Kendall's coefficient of concordance. The study aims to provide a systematic approach to optimizing admission processes based on expert opinions. The objective is to evaluate the importance of personal characteristics in applicant selection, using the Delphi method to identify key factors influencing educational choices. The Delphi method was used with 21 experts divided into three age groups. Experts ranked 28 characteristics on a 10-point scale, and Kendall's coefficient of concordance was applied to analyze the consistency of the results. The results showed an average level of agreement (W = 0.52), with academic performance, exam subjects, and personal motivation being the most significant factors. Age group differences were noted in expert opinions. The Delphi method proves effective for expert decision-making in education, highlighting the importance of personal characteristics in applicant selection. These findings can improve university admission processes and guide future research.

Keywords:

Delphi method, applicant, expert evaluations, ranking, concordance, admission campaign, higher education.