Development of adaptive mechanisms of forced import substitution for sustainable growth

Abstract

This study explores the development of adaptive mechanisms of forced import substitution as a pathway to sustainable growth in the context of systemic transformations and external restrictions. The purpose is to conceptualize forced import substitution as both a protective measure and a strategic instrument that enhances resilience and competitiveness. The methodology relies on theoretical analysis of existing interpretations combined with a systematic approach to evaluating macro and meso level dynamics, including risks associated with sanctions, supply chain disruptions, and technological dependence. The results demonstrate that adaptive mechanisms such as diversification of supply sources, expansion of domestic production capacity, and advancement of technological sovereignty contribute to structural stability and reduce vulnerability to external shocks. The conclusion highlights that forced import substitution, when integrated into long term development strategies, supports economic resilience and sustainable growth while reinforcing national competitiveness in conditions of global turbulence..